In
most of the reporting recently on the economic troubles worldwide,
something has been missing, namely any hint that there are
economists who believe the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has
made matters in Asia and Russia worse.
Most stories simply ignore
the role the IMF has played in the problems overseas, but even when
stories acknowledge criticism, it isn’t the criticism coming from
conservatives. An example: Adam Zagorin in the August 31 Time.
According to Zagorin, "Instead of simply delivering needed money,
the fund has also been delivering ultimatums." While he claimed that
these changes may be necessary, "the focus on sudden change instead
of relief has left many nations twisting in knots trying to solve
problems quickly that should require years of patient work."
But is it just timing? Some
economists argue that the IMF has prescribed economic poison,
opposed positive changes, and brought about severe unintended
consequences. For instance:
Currency Devaluation and
Tax Increases. The IMF has encouraged countries like South
Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia to devalue their currencies
and adopt a floating exchange rate, in the hope that this would lead
to export-led growth, as well as raise taxes, in the hope of
balancing budgets. "But emerging nation currencies don’t float, they
sink," according to economist Lawrence Kudlow in the September 1
Washington Times. "And then comes deep recession and
hyperinflation."
Another problem, critics
claim, is that this has led to "competitive devaluation" as
neighboring countries devalue out of fear of losing markets. While
the networks and news magazines regularly present evidence of the
chaotic effects of currency devaluation, they haven’t yet implicated
the IMF.
Currency Boards.
Many economists also are critical of the Clinton administration’s
and the IMF’s fierce opposition to Indonesia’s plan earlier this
year to establish a currency board. Under such a plan, Indonesia
would have by law fixed its rupiah to the U.S. dollar, backed up by
100 percent reserves. Currency-board systems have been enormously
successful in taming inflation, surviving speculative attacks, and
building a solid foundation for growth in other countries, such as
Argentina. But many in the press joined in the IMF’s denunciations
of the currency-board idea. On April 20, Time’s Anthony
Spaeth denounced it as "a plan so plainly unfeasible that most in
Washington considered it little more than a provocation."
But as the currency
problems in Asia and Russia continue, reporters haven’t decided to
question the IMF’s opposition to currency boards. The networks have
ignored talk of the concept, and a Nexis search of Newsweek,
Time, and U.S. News & World Report could find only one
reference to currency boards during this past summer: a brief
mention in the August 24 Time that currency speculator George
Soros had recommended one for Russia. Supposedly, news magazines go
into more depth than television, but not when it comes to currency
boards.
Moral Hazard. By
bailing out bad investments, critics argue, the IMF merely emboldens
investors to ignore risks in the future. Economists call this
concept "moral hazard." A September 2 Wall Street Journal
editorial, for instance, argues that after the generous IMF bailout
in Mexico, the "lesson the markets had to draw was: Whee!
Cross-border loans are a one-way bet. Throw money at the world.
Russia, even." A Nexis search indicates that the words "moral
hazard" in relation to the IMF haven’t appeared in Newsweek,
Time, or U.S. News & World Report all summer.
Shoddy IMF advice, in
addition to the inherent problems created by bailing out risky
investments, have caused many, including former Secretary of State
George Shultz and likely Republican presidential candidate Steve
Forbes, to oppose the Clinton administration’s request for Congress
to authorize $18 billion in new funds for the agency. "Let’s be
blunt," writes Forbes in the September 21 issue of his magazine.
"That money would worsen the problem, not ease it. The IMF is one of
the chief villains in what is now unfolding." Such critics, many of
whom support free trade and open immigration, are hardly
"isolationists," as IMF supporters try to tar any opponents of the
agency, but neither they nor their criticisms are being heard on the
networks or in the news weeklies.
As renewed IMF funding
becomes a topic of debate on Capitol Hill this fall, will reporters
continue to ignore its pro-free market, non-isolationist
conservative critics?
— Rich
Noyes