Back on December 21, all of the networks highlighted how Gene
Sperling and other Clinton operatives were blaming George W. Bush
for allegedly creating a recession by pointing to the slowdown in
manufacturing and other weak spots in the economy. But after the
Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee cut rates by a half percent
on January 3, ABC, CBS and NBC refused to call it vindication of
Bush’s warning. Instead, journalists pushed the idea that Fed
Chairman Alan Greenspan had acted to undermine the pitch for Bush’s
tax reduction program and that tax relief wouldn’t matter in the
current economic climate. At the same time, the networks continued
to represent the proposed tax cut as either "big" or "huge" — an
insupportable statement if the tax cut is placed in its proper
context.
Anchor
Brian Williams, on the January 3 NBC Nightly News, acknowledged that
"Bush has warned of a recession on the way and still wants to see
his big tax cut enacted." From Bush’s economic summit David Gregory
noted how they "toasted" the interest rate cut, adding: "Bush and
his corporate allies, eager to see his huge tax cut enacted, argued
strenuously today that much more is needed to save the economy from
a free fall."
On World News Tonight, ABC’s Terry Moran noted that "Mr. Bush
made clear he will now push even harder for his big tax cut." CBS’s
Dan Rather also labeled the tax cut as "big," remarking that Bush
"believes the Fed just gave him some new ammunition for his battle
to get a big tax cut through Congress."
But CBS’s John Roberts then tried to argue that Bush would be
wrong if he thought the Fed favored lower tax rates. Roberts
asserted there is a "fundamental difference between Bush and
Greenspan over how best to spur economic growth, from cutting
interest rates or cutting taxes."
Actually, as has been widely reported, Greenspan has said he that
although he would prefer that the surplus was used to reduce federal
debt, he agrees with Bush that tax cuts are far more desirable than
the new increases in federal spending that many liberals propose.
On the weekend discussion shows, two former Democratic
administration officials who are now media commentators lobbied
against the tax cut. Former Carter administration official Margaret
Carlson, now with Time, appeared on the January 6 edition of CNN’s
Capital Gang and advocated that Bush adopt defeated Democrat Al
Gore’s positions: "He should signal that he wants to raise the
minimum wage. It’s one way to counteract the effect of this huge tax
cut he’s pushing which goes to the wealthy."
The next morning on This Week, ABC’s George Stephanopoulos — the
same Stephanopoulos who claimed back in ‘93 that Bill Clinton’s
relatively puny $31 billion "stimulus" spending plan would work
immediate miracles on the economy [see box] — lectured that "this
argument...that because we’re going into some kind of a dip, even if
it’s not a recession, that you need to have a huge tax cut now is
completely specious, especially because, as you pointed out in your
questioning, the tax cut is not going to take effect right away and
the real effect, when it really costs a lot of money, is many years
down the road, five or ten years down the road. It was interesting
when [Bush economic advisor Lawrence] Lindsay said we might then
speed up the tax cuts. That means it’s going to cost even more, far
more than the $1.3 trillion they’re talking about."
For the record, President Clinton announced in late December that
ten-year projections for the budget surplus now total $4.996
trillion, according to the New York Times. That’s $803 billion more
than the administration’s late June calculation of $4.193 trillion,
which was itself $1.275 trillion higher than the ten-year estimate
before that. As these numbers show, it’s more likely that future
surpluses have been underestimated by government economists, not
overestimated as many in the media continually fret.
Additionally, the $1.3 trillion tax cut — which Bush had planned
for in his budget before Clinton’s budget office added $2.078
trillion to the surplus — is neither big nor huge, according to
statistics compiled by the
National Taxpayers
Union (NTU). According to the NTU, Bush’s total tax cut amounts
to only 0.9% of total GDP. In contrast, Ronald Reagan’s 1981 tax cut
represented 3.3% of GDP, and even Democratic President John F.
Kennedy’s tax cut — proposed in 1963 and passed in 1964 — was 2.0%
of GDP.
Noting that journalists have, for 13 months, consistently tagged
Bush’s program as either "big" or "huge," Investor’s Business Daily
editorialized on January 8 that "the idea was to make the cut...seem
bigger than it is. But by overstating its size, they’re making the
implicit admission that it’s not that big to start with. Each day
the media hammer Bush’s tax cut, they’re sounding more and more
desperate."
And, by dwelling on the estimated "costs" of the tax cut, the
media are feeding the notion that tax cuts work like spending and
that Bush needs to avoid busting the budget. But, as economist
Arthur Laffer argued in a Wall Street Journal column published on
January 8, that’s not the way the real world works.
"When tax rates change, the one thing you can count on is that
people will change their behavior. Lower tax rates mean more taxable
income, and more taxable income means less revenue shortfall. It’s
my guess that Mr. Bush’s tax-rate cuts will help secure the $3
trillion Social Security surplus and not come near the $2 trillion
cost Sen. Daschle claims," Laffer wrote. "But there’s nothing that
will eat that surplus up faster than a bad economy, with lower
incomes, higher unemployment and earlier retirements."
Most in the media have apparently adopted Clinton’s view that the
surplus is like fine china, and must be safely locked away. But if
Laffer’s right, the worst thing that the defenders of the surplus
could do is block efforts to boost the ailing economy by giving
taxpayers back a portion of their own money.
— Rich
Noyes